The clash between Cremonese and Benevento on 31 October 2026 promises a tactical showdown in Serie B. Our AI football predictions combine seasonal averages, recent form and expected‑goals (xG) to give a data‑rich preview for football predictions today.

Match Overview

Cremonese host Benevento at 14:00 in a match that could reshape the mid‑table race. Cremonese have scored 1.22 goals per game while conceding 1.04, whereas Benevento boast a higher attacking output of 1.67 goals per game but also allow 1.16. Both sides have played 25 matches so far, with Cremonese recording 10 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses, and Benevento sitting a little higher at 12‑7‑6.

Recent Form

Cremonese’s last five fixtures reveal a worrying dip in firepower – only 0.6 goals per game and a defense that leaks 1.2 goals on average. Their shot volume has fallen to under ten per match, and clean‑sheet percentages sit around 30%.

Benevento, by contrast, arrive on a surge. Over the same five‑match window they have averaged 2.2 goals while conceding just 0.6. Their 13.4 shots per game and a 50% clean‑sheet rate underline a balanced, high‑intensity approach that makes them the more dangerous side on paper.

Statistical Edge

Our AI model assigns a 34% win probability to Cremonese, 29% to a draw and 37% to a Benevento victory. The expected‑goals line reads 0.74 for Cremonese versus 1.83 for Benevento, suggesting a clear offensive advantage for the visitors.

The model also forecasts a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals, a 45% probability of both teams scoring (BTTS), and a 74% likelihood of at least 1.5 goals. Corner expectations sit at 9.3 total, while yellow cards are projected at 4.5.

Bookmaker Odds vs AI

Current 1X2 odds from 1xBet, BetVictor, Betano and Marathonbet list Cremonese at 2.69, a draw at 3.12 and Benevento at 2.61. Converting these odds yields implied probabilities of roughly 37% for Cremonese, 32% for a draw and 38% for Benevento. The AI’s 37% probability for a Benevento win aligns closely with the market, but the model reduces Cremonese’s chance to 34% (vs 37% implied) and lifts the draw to 29% (vs 32%). This suggests the market may be over‑valuing the home side’s resilience.

Player‑Level Insights

Key attackers for Benevento – Manuel De Luca and Francesco Salvemini – each carry odds around 2.88, translating to a 35% individual win probability. The AI notes that both have contributed to 60% of Benevento’s recent goals, reinforcing the expectation of a goal‑rich performance.

Cremonese’s leading scorer has struggled to find the net consistently, with only one goal in the last five matches. Their midfield’s low shot creation (under ten attempts per game) limits the likelihood of a surprise upset.

Betting Opportunities

Double Chance (X2): At 66% implied probability, the AI’s combined draw‑or‑Benevento win probability (66%) matches the market, making this a safe play for bettors seeking low volatility.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): The AI gives a 45% chance, slightly below the market’s typical 50% pricing, suggesting a modest value edge on the BTTS market if offered at odds above 2.00.
Over 2.5 Goals: With a 47% chance, the market often prices this at around 2.20. The AI’s near‑even split indicates a potential upside for the over if the odds drift lower than 2.10.
Exact Score Prediction: The model’s most likely result is a 1‑2 win for Benevento. This specific line carries higher risk but can be lucrative on high‑odds platforms.

Final Verdict

All data points – higher xG, superior shot volume, a healthier clean‑sheet record and a potent attacking quartet – point to Benevento as the slight favorite. While the home side will likely keep the game tight, the AI forecasts a 1‑2 victory for Benevento, with both teams scoring in almost half of the scenarios.

Takeaway

For value‑seeking punters, a double‑chance X2 bet offers solid coverage at attractive odds, while the BTTS market presents a modest edge if priced above 2.00. The AI soccer predictions suggest that backing Benevento, either on the win market or the 1‑2 exact score, aligns with the most data‑driven outlook for this Serie B encounter.